In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first The civil calendar year is the one that is used to determine the Shemitah year. Two-thousand years later, the idea that people need a weekly rhythm of work and rest, has been embraced by most people on the planet. For the non-Shmita years, the average return is 9.0% (16.5%), but for the Shmita years, it is an average loss of -2.4% (22.7). Press J to jump to the feed. Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. Because it aligns as well with the fact that September is known to be the worst month for stocks. Most people are familiar with the concept of the weekly Sabbath, which was given by God for man to rest one day out of every seven days, just as the Lord rested on the seventh day after the six days of creation (note: in the original language of Genesis relative to the creation, days = eons). 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history. Compared to non-Shmita years, that is significantly different (p < 0.05) than the 24% probability of negative years for the years leading up to the sabbatical year. "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with The enormity of the preceding mania and its vicious unwind have us believing the current bear could unfold over a much lengthier time than is typical. The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. 1930-1931 Shmita Year - 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the Lords remission has been proclaimed.. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! Through this and other laws, the Lord thus encouraged the people not to go into debt at all; however, if they did take a loan from another one of their Jewish brothers out of necessity, then the remaining unpaid debt would have to be forgiven at the end of the Shemitah year without requiring further payments or obligations. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. The greater the number of years left before the next Jubilee, the greater would be the value of the land and therefore the price. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. We know that this is true, at least in theory. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost . To the nation that upholds the ways of God it comes as a blessing. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. The historical performance results for indices and index funds, used as proxies for indices, are provided exclusively for comparison purposes. Been looking for this thread. However, these laws were not ignored by God. Rigel senior . From Shuls to JCCs, Federations to urban farms, I met a wide range of knowledge levels and often had to begin by explaining the abc of shmita, the biblical seven-year agriculture cycle. The Shemitah years of 1972-1973, 1979-1980, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, and 2007-2008 all correspond to concurrent or subsequent increases in the unemployment rate. Our Major Trend Index has four factor categories, and three of them (Valuation, Cyclical, Technical) remain negative. As of Nov. 29, the S&P 500 is down a more modest 16.75%, but still. Mike Maloney is a smart guy, but hes just a man with a view just take a look on his favourite crypto, Hedera Hashgraph (episode 8). The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. A book that I picked off the shelf last month in Hudsons News at Union Station in Washington DC is rather confident that it will. This is what the Lord said through Moses in Deuteronomy: At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. There can be no assurance that any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investment strategies devised or undertaken by Reppond Investments, Inc.) will be profitable for a clients or prospective clients portfolio. To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. However, the historical hit rates arent high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries. Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. It is wise for us to attune our 1-ranked portfolio strategist on Wall Street last year.As many analysts remained bullish on the market exiting 2021, Wilson . Not planting nor harvesting any crops so the soil can recover from 6 years of growing and harvesting. Your email address will not be published. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. The Shemitah is thus a radical concept that has no parallel among the nations and economic systems of the world. Since the Shemitah affected Israel so dramatically and caught up to them even when the Jews didnt follow it for centuries, a valid question might be, Does the Shemitah Effect relate not only to Israel, but does it also have relevance to the entire world? Even though Israel as a nation was specifically given the Law of Moses in the beginning to make them distinct from the nations as Gods people, many of the Old Testament laws have application to all of mankind regardless of whether they are Jew or Gentile. The impact of the So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! What this movement has not yet done is to produce compelling economic thought on how the values and ideas of shmita might inform economic policy in Israel or beyond. Even your cattle and the animals that are in your land shall have all its crops to eat.. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. The 1994 bond market massacre is remembered with horror by those who lived through it. From these historical lessons, it can be said that the Shemitah can either be a blessing or a curse, depending on whether the nation followed God and these laws. Weve gotten our money back, thanks to the complaints help we got!Eternally grateful!!! 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. How can the Torahs idealistic instruction to cease agricultural labor for one year every seven apply to a 24/7 post-industrial reality? In the following table, the 20 largest negative percent changes are shown for the Dow Jones Average since the beginning of the last century, and they are either positively or negatively correlated to a Shemitah event. Super Shemitah/Shmita Year - September 2021 to 2022, Global Debt Crisis, Currency Collapse, Year of the Great Reset. The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. A mini-recession built into their economic system every seven years which assured that there would be no financial bubbles or the subsequent severe crashes, which often resulted from them. a 40,000 pound "hewn" foundation stone. You know, a lot of people are searching around for this info, you can help them greatly. Please note that the posts on The Blogs are contributed by third parties. In addition, if the poor sold their property because they needed the money, their family would eventually be assured of gaining it back at the Jubilee. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a Some market operators who spoke to Nairametrics said the equities market defied election jittery thanks to the anticipated 2022 full . During this year So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? Investments in securities will not always be profitable. The first thing to ask is, What is the Shemitah Effect? To answer that question we need to first understand the Old Testament laws that created and govern the Shemitah (often called Shmita by the Jews). Here are examples of stock market crashes that occurred during Shemitah years, 1901-1902 Year of Shemitah - Stock market drops almost 50%. (photo credit: AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov). 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